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Riverview, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for Riverview FL
National Weather Service Forecast for: Riverview FL
Issued by: National Weather Service Tampa Bay, FL
Updated: 7:36 pm EDT Jun 27, 2025
 
Tonight

Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 3am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Scattered
T-storms

Saturday

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 102. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Isolated
T-storms then
Scattered
T-storms
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Showers
Likely then
Scattered
T-storms
Sunday

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  High near 91. Heat index values as high as 98. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2am.  Low around 74. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Showers

Monday

Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Scattered
T-storms
Tuesday

Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 91. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Scattered
T-storms then
Showers
Likely
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 8pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind 5 to 7 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Showers
Likely then
Scattered
T-storms
Lo 74 °F Hi 93 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 74 °F Hi 91 °F Lo 75 °F

 

Tonight
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Heat index values as high as 102. Light and variable wind becoming south southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 91. Heat index values as high as 98. Light and variable wind becoming west 5 to 8 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Sunday Night
 
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Low around 74. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Southeast wind 5 to 9 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. South southwest wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind 5 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night
 
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 76. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
 
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 90. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Thursday Night
 
Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 75. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Independence Day
 
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for Riverview FL.

Weather Forecast Discussion
946
FXUS62 KTBW 280015
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
815 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 757 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Outflow and from earlier inland convection continues advancing
west across coastal locations and nearshore waters this evening,
having triggered showers and a few storms in its wake, currently
most active in the Tampa Bay area. Early evening activity expected
to continue before generally winding down later in the evening
followed by partly cloudy skies overnight. Current forecast in
shape with no changes needed.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 233 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Southwest flow has returned. An upper-level low continues to be
centered over the FL peninsula, streaming deep tropical moisture
across the region. The morning sounding showed a PWAT of 1.86 inches
across the region, with rather even moisture distribution through
the column. Thus, another warm, humid afternoon is underway.

However, overall shower and thunderstorm activity is more limited,
due to the WSW flow. This is because there is no west coast sea
breeze development taking place. So while the atmosphere remains
warm, moist, and conditionally unstable, there are limited forcing
mechanisms to initiate thunderstorms this afternoon. The storms that
have formed have done so primarily along remnant boundaries from
overnight convection. A few storms have developed in NE Pinellas
County along the Bay Breeze (which has still been able to develop
with the SW flow not being too strong).

With the flow shifting, the best chance to see storms will generally
be in the morning for coastal communities. However, with the
limited forcing, they will probably be more isolated to scattered
in nature through the weekend. As the moisture grows even deeper
later next week, then rain chances will increase as very little
forcing will be needed with such a saturated atmosphere.

As have already alluded to, we are locked into a WSW flow pattern
for some time. The upper-level low will be absorbed back into the
flow over the next day, but another low retrogrades into the area by
early next week. This will reinforce the WSW flow - and perhaps
enhance the overall moisture towards the end of the week. Overall,
though, one should expect earlier thunderstorms and warm, humid
conditions to continue.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 739 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Lingering evening convection prompted vicinity convection mention
through around 02Z as convective outflow pushes west across
coastal terminals, but VFR expected afterward continuing through
overnight until late morning/early afternoon on Saturday, when
additional convective development will bring vicinity mention back
to terminals. Winds light overnight, increasing out of the
southwest by early afternoon remaining 10 knots or less.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 233 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

Coastal showers and thunderstorms become more prevalent in the
morning hours as the flow veers to a south and eventually southwest
direction for the next week. These storms should generally
transition inland during the afternoon and evening hours. Winds
generally remain below 15 knots outside of thunderstorms, with seas
of 2 feet or less.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 233 PM EDT Fri Jun 27 2025

A predominantly W to WSW flow is settling in for the days to come,
keeping dewpoints and subsequently RH values high. Overall rain
chances near the coast will diminish, however; but the best chance
to see a storm near the coast will be in the morning hours. There
are no fire weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  78  92  78  90 /  40  50  40  70
FMY  75  94  76  92 /  40  70  40  70
GIF  75  94  75  91 /  40  70  40  80
SRQ  76  91  76  91 /  40  50  40  70
BKV  71  93  72  91 /  30  60  40  70
SPG  78  90  78  88 /  40  50  40  70

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Hurt
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Flannery
DECISION SUPPORT...Giarratana/Flannery
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Giarratana
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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